GBPUSD short idea

18 de dez.

In Q1 2025, shorting GBPUSD could be an attractive strategy due to the relative strength of the USD compared to the GBP. The U.S. economy is expected to outperform the UK, driven by robust consumer spending, low unemployment, and higher interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve at 5.25%, compared to the Bank of England’s 4.5%. Additionally, lingering UK economic challenges, such as slower GDP growth recovery, cost-of-living pressures, and potential dovish signals from the BoE, could weigh on the GBP. Meanwhile, the USD benefits from its safe-haven appeal amid global uncertainties, further bolstered by strong capital inflows and sustained inflationary pressures that support the Fed’s hawkish stance.This might lead to bearish pressure on GBPUSD and a short would be best to capitalize on these macroeconomic divergences and the expected relative weakness of the GBP against the USD.