As a professional and experienced Forex trader, I have been closely monitoring the GBP USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Based on my analysis, I believe there is an opportunity for a short trade with a favorable risk-reward ratio using a support and resistance strategy.
Currently, the GBP USD pair is trading around 1.20882, which is just above a key support level at 1.20600. This support level has been tested multiple times in the past and has held strong, indicating that there is a significant level of buying interest at this price point.
On the resistance side, the pair has been struggling to break above the 1.22305 level. This level has acted as a strong barrier to price movements in the past and is likely to continue doing so in the near future.
Taking these factors into consideration, I would recommend entering a short trade at 1.20882 with a take profit target of 1.19191 and a stop loss at 1.22305. This would result in a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.21, which is favorable.
If the support level at 1.20600 holds, it is likely that the price will continue to move downwards towards the take profit target. However, if the pair breaks above the resistance level at 1.22305, it may be wise to exit the trade to limit potential losses.
Overall, I believe this trade has a strong probability of success based on the current market conditions and technical analysis. However, as always, it is important to exercise proper risk management and monitor the trade closely to make any necessary adjustments.
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