Key Observations:
Descending Channel:
GBP/USD is firmly within a downward sloping channel, with repeated lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong bearish pressure.
Critical Support at 1.2290:
The price is heading toward 1.2290, a significant support level where previous bounces have occurred.
Momentum Indicators:
The Ichimoku cloud shows bearish sentiment dominating the market, with no clear signs of reversal yet.
Resistance at 1.2554:
If a recovery happens, the first major hurdle will be 1.2554, where selling pressure is expected to increase.
Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (60% Probability):
A break below 1.2290 could open the path toward deeper levels, with potential targets at 1.2200 or lower.
Bullish Bounce (40% Probability):
Buyers could step in at 1.2290, leading to a corrective bounce toward 1.2400 or the upper boundary of the descending channel.
Conclusion:
The current trend favors a bearish continuation toward 1.2290. A decisive break below this level could accelerate the downtrend. However, a bounce from support may provide a short-term recovery opportunity.
📢 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making trading decisions. 🚨