GBPUSD comments at the beginning of the week

17 de jun.

Cable had a volatile week, driven almost entirely by top tier US data (US CPI, FOMC forecasts). The welcomed inflation data on Wednesday and subsequent rise in the pair was pulled back a few hours later with more hawkish revisions to the inflation outlook.

Since then FX markets have prioritized the hawkish projections over the encouraging inflation data – the reverse of what has been seen in the US stock market as major indices achieved new all time highs. Continued progress in inflation and a more dovish BoE could extend the current move lower, towards 1.2585 and possibly even the 200 SMA.

19 de jun.

Nota

From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is receiving significant support around 1.2670, corresponding to the 50 EMA and close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement threshold of the uptrend from April. Further down will be the 1.2600 area, corresponding with the 200 EMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

24 de jun.

Nota

9 de jul.

Nota

Since touching the support area of ​​1.2600, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci threshold calculated based on the increase from April, GBP/USD has continuously increased to near the peak of June, and at the same time entered the strong resistance area of ​​1.2800-1.2900. Therefore, the increased selling pressure is quite understandable.