The guppy has been steadily rising for the past 18 trading days after a significant drop due to likely BOJ intervention. So, what’s next?
In my opinion, this pair is highly overbought across all time frames. A correction seems imminent. If you look at the daily chart, the steep and prolonged uptrend suggests a significant drop is likely.
The 4-hour chart provides an even clearer picture of this steady climb. In trading, such prolonged upward movements often precede a drop.
Today, I entered a position at 200.60. My first target is a move down towards 195, with the potential for a deeper correction to 193 or lower.
Long-term, this pair is very bullish. The 190 to 193 area could be a good entry point for long-term buyers, aiming for a move towards the monthly SELL/SUPPLY zone starting at 211.
However, if the price breaks below 190, it could trigger a larger sell-off as large traders take profits.
For now, a short-term sell seems appropriate given the current extreme overbought conditions.
Let me know your thoughts in the comment section below
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As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.