This trading plan focuses on a bearish breakout scenario, where the price clears the support range between 1.03560 and 1.03463, signaling a continuation downward to complete the Head and Shoulders pattern.
1. Market Context: Current Pattern: The chart suggests the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating a potential bearish reversal. Key Levels: Support Range: 1.03560–1.03463 (neckline of the pattern). Take Profit (TP) Levels: 1.03221: Intermediate target, aligning with a key support zone. 1.02992: Final target, completing the Head and Shoulders measured move.
2. Entry Criteria: Trigger for Entry: Place a sell stop order slightly below the support range at 1.03450. This ensures confirmation of the bearish breakout below the neckline. 3. Stop Loss Placement: Place the stop loss above the resistance level at 1.03600. This protects against false breakouts and provides room for minor pullbacks.
4. Take Profit Targets: Target 1 (Intermediate): 1.03221 Represents the first key support zone where price may pause or retrace. Target 2 (Final): 1.02992 Represents the measured move completion for the Head and Shoulders pattern.
6. Trade Execution Plan: Monitor Volume: A spike in selling volume below 1.03450 confirms bearish momentum. Confirm Momentum: Use indicators like: RSI: Ensure it is below 50 and trending downward. MACD: Look for a bearish crossover or increasing negative histogram bars.
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