EUR/USD was on course for a moderate drop on Wednesday, but then reversed course after bouncing off medium-term trendline support. Despite recent price action, the underlying bias remains bearish, but to be confident that the losses will accelerate, the bears need to push prices below 1.0535. Should this scenario unfold, we could see a move towards the 1.0500 handle. On further weakness, the focus shifts to 1.0355.
Conversely, if the bulls return in force and manage to drive the exchange rate decisively higher, initial resistance lies between 1.0670 and 1.0695. Upside clearance of this technical ceiling could reignite upward impetus, paving the way for a rally towards 1.0765, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October descent.
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