S&P500: Days of Decision

Hovering near the 6,000 points mark, the S&P 500 enters the second half of the week at a critical juncture. The next few trading sessions will determine whether the index will push directly to new record highs or first undergo a more extended correction. In our primary scenario, the S&P should continue selling off to settle the turquoise wave 2’s low within the corresponding long Target Zone between 5,667 and 5,389 points. Only from there should the next turquoise impulse wave 3 take over, driving the index to new all-time highs beyond the resistance at 6,365 points. If the S&P immediately resumes its upward trajectory, it might break past 6,365 points without delay. In this 38% likely alternative scenario, the index would bypass the turquoise Target Zone and significantly extend the green impulse wave alt.[3]. Primarily, we consider the green wave [3] as already complete.