A key part of technical analysis is to identify the different phases and patterns in the market.
So, what can we see? - We can see that we're within a major ascending parallel channel and price has been respecting it. When price approaches either extremes of the channel, it rejects aggressively. - There are 2 key phases at play here. The blue phase is the impulse and the red phase is the correction. - The impulse phase is an upward movement and the corrective phase is a downward move
After identifying these phases, what next? - So now that we know that the impulse phase ends at the upper limit of the channel, we know there's a corrective move coming back down to the channel support. - If there's enough momentum, we can break the channel support and keep falling. As we're in an ascending channel , it is often a reversal pattern = there's a high chance that CHFJPY can come back down all the way to 109 - Now we need a trading plan to enter this trade
How do we trade it? - The risk entry would have been at the rejection of the channel resistance - which we got into after our last analysis! - We recently saw an impulse down and now we are within a correction. The entry we are now looking at is the break of the correction we're in for another move down. See below for trade idea.
Trade Idea: - Watch for price to reject one of the fib levels indicated on the chart - Risk entry would be rejection of the fib level. Safe entry would be after the break of the correction - Put stops above the correction
First Target: Target the channel support for first targets (400pips) Swing Target: The bottom of the channel (1,500pips)
See below for previous CHFJPY analysis:
What do you guys think? Leave your comments below!
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As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.