Where do we go now? (Short term)

History tells us many things, but this time, the market is different with all the etf, war, government intervention, BTC halving etc. Since we need at least one 50% drop in a bullrun, I'm still not sure what to think: now, or a bit later? If we look at the chart, we only had a 22% drop and thats not enough. Lets see. Bullish short term? Or bearish. Lets see! We're running outta time