Why BTC Can Revisit 18.5k
Atualizado
Hello traders, this week we've seen a change in momentum for BTC.
In my analysis I combine some basic ICT concepts with Ichimoku. This is a swing-trade type setup.
Observe the 4H timeframe:
After a major drop in price, BTC began consolidating since the beginning of November. Note the overlapping and flat behavior of the TK (blue), KS (pink), and Chikou-span (yellow) line.
This week we've seen the shift in momentum with the TK line turning upward and crossing the KJ line, hinting a shift of short-term momentum.
During the drop BTC created a liquidity void, providing a pool of liquidity for BTC to return back to. I believe we are beginning to see the return to this area before a continuation downward.
The real liquidity appears to lie around the 18.9k area, but with an ICT order block creating resistance around 18.5k the more conservative target would be the order block.
I am anticipating a breakout to the upside above the cloud and a re-test before a move up to complete the "pattern".
On the daily timeframe we can see this is a return to the KJ line. All lines have gone flat - if you study Ichimoku you would know that not only does this tell us that BTC has obviously been consolidating with sideways price action, but also that
Not financial advice. All the best.
In my analysis I combine some basic ICT concepts with Ichimoku. This is a swing-trade type setup.
Observe the 4H timeframe:
After a major drop in price, BTC began consolidating since the beginning of November. Note the overlapping and flat behavior of the TK (blue), KS (pink), and Chikou-span (yellow) line.
This week we've seen the shift in momentum with the TK line turning upward and crossing the KJ line, hinting a shift of short-term momentum.
During the drop BTC created a liquidity void, providing a pool of liquidity for BTC to return back to. I believe we are beginning to see the return to this area before a continuation downward.
The real liquidity appears to lie around the 18.9k area, but with an ICT order block creating resistance around 18.5k the more conservative target would be the order block.
I am anticipating a breakout to the upside above the cloud and a re-test before a move up to complete the "pattern".
On the daily timeframe we can see this is a return to the KJ line. All lines have gone flat - if you study Ichimoku you would know that not only does this tell us that BTC has obviously been consolidating with sideways price action, but also that
- We have a greater chance of price returning to the KS line which happens to be confluent with our order block area.
- When the TK and KS line are abnormally this far apart, this also frequently signals a high probability for a pull back to KS line (equilibrium).
Not financial advice. All the best.
Nota
As of 11:00 A.M. NY time, we are seeing price attempt a break out and pulling back to Senkou-span B for support on the 4H. This is also where we have a bullish OB being tested (a good entry point). I am anticipating a bullish reaction to this area to build momentum to break the cloud.Nota
Price has continued to consolidate after leaving the cloud. This is a good sign of accumulation before a nice big move up on the 4h.Pay attention for good entries. Price may come back down to to Senkou-span B line on top of the cloud for support at 16.3k. This would be a nice entry.
Trade fechado: stop atingido
Past two days BTC re-entered consolidation. I believe 18.5k is still in play but re-positioning is needed as BTC continues to seek liquidity.Trade ativo
We are now beginning to see momentum as BTC breaks up through the cloud in the 4h. Looking for price to pullback to KS line in the 1hr around 16.5k - 16.6k for entry possibilities.Trade ativo
Hi all, still in this trade I hope! BTC continues to show a willingness to move toward our target. Expecting volatility this week, so keep a sharp eye for entries if you're not already in.Trade ativo
Hi all, we've finally seen more interest in our trade direction yesterday after a nice push up from 16.9k to 17.9k out of previous period consolidation. Will continue to sit-tight and see if price will hold this area. As previously mentioned, 16.6k was the more ideal entry but if you're still looking to get in I would wait to see if price will be rejected by the new liquidity void/gap created from this most recent push up.Don't know what a fair value gap is? Search here on TradingView for fair value gap - there are plenty of good educational examples. (Can't post links yet since I am not PRO or have enough points).
Nota
Oh I would also mentioned that if you HAVE in fact entered around 16.6k this would be a good area to conservatively take some profits off the table. Congrats!Trade fechado: objetivo atingido
BTC reached very near our target of 18.4k/18.5kI would close positions at this point and wait for more opportunities.
Aviso legal
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