BTC may decrease through Q2 2023 after the Q4 2022 economic data and business financial data becomes mostly available around 2023-01-06 (first week of JAN). Perhaps, watch the television closely and the news online during week 1 and week 2 of 2023-01 (JAN).
An increase in recession in 2023-01 could dip stocks and BTC further as we have seen throughout all of 2022. By late 2023-02 to late 2023-03 many analysts are predicting an increase in war as the weather begins to warm up for the outdoor activities. Sometimes war manufacturing can boost the growth rate a little, so there's a possible war growth economic cushion that may help the economy some... However, it may not boost it enough if people no longer are willing to take losses by holding.