Bitcoins technical value based on the law of big numbers

Usually after lots of consecutive bars or one big bar. The price will bounce at the 50% - 60% level of the green move (I tested this). The magnitude of the bounce is not a sure thing ofcourse. But the fed is printing 120B every month, stocks are at a ATH and overall the markets are doing good. Bitcoin will also, likely go up this year. I am expecting 90k