Let's dive into the Bitcoin market analysis for August 31st.
(Please note, I do not engage in any paid promotions. This post is purely for informational purposes and should be used as a reference.)
(15-Minute Chart - Layer Structure)
Bitcoin appears to be forming a "layered structure," where support and resistance levels act as distinct "layers." This structure provides a clean and well-organized chart view.
This structure was drawn two days ago and remains relevant today. (Anything above Layer 4 could be considered the "roof.")
(Remember Layer 1 for later.)
(1-Hour Chart - Head and Shoulders)
On a broader scale, a "Head and Shoulders" pattern is visible, which typically signals a bearish trend. The neckline of this pattern aligns with the "Layer 1" zone. If Layer 1 is broken, it could lead to increased selling pressure.
(4-Hour Chart - Divergence)
On the 4-hour chart, a bullish divergence was observed, which led to a minor rebound. However, the full potential of this divergence hasn't been realized yet. As long as the previous low of 57.5K holds, the market may still be influenced by this bullish divergence.
(If 57.5K is breached, it could trigger the Head and Shoulders pattern.)
(Daily Chart - Candlesticks)
Recent daily candles show minimal fluctuations, with the last four candles not moving more than 1%. This tight range suggests an accumulation phase, which often precedes a significant move.
(We might see an expansion phase soon.)
(Daily Chart - Bollinger Bands)
The middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which corresponds to the 20-day moving average (20MA), has been a strong resistance level. Breaking through this level is crucial for a potential trend reversal.
(Daily Chart - Bull Flag Pattern)
On a larger scale, a "Bull Flag" pattern has been forming over the past 170 days, including a "flagpole" phase that extends the pattern to over 220 days. This large-scale pattern is critical, and its resolution could determine Bitcoin’s trend heading into the end of the year.
(All movements in the past six months have been within this pattern.) The Bull Flag is typically bullish, but only if it breaks upwards. A downward break would be a significant warning sign.
[4-Line Summary]
The short-term layered structure is crucial. Breaching Layer 1 could activate the Head and Shoulders pattern, posing a risk. Bitcoin is accumulating energy during its sideways movement. All of this is happening within the larger Bull Flag pattern, which could dictate the year-end trend. For short-term trading, focusing on the 4-hour chart or lower timeframes may be more practical.
That’s all for this brief analysis. Please use it as a reference.
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• This is not a buy or sell recommendation. • It represents a personal perspective and is for reference purposes only. • All decisions and associated responsibilities are solely yours.
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