This scenario has likely been invalidated. I will provide updates in the coming days, but at this point, I believe it is no longer viable.
I am watching the alt coin market very closely, and believe we are incredibly close to a bottom. We should see a double bottom with them, or slightly lower. But either way, big moves are to come for alt coins. I will provide a chart for that in the coming days / week.
As for Bitcoin, it is still a watch and see. I think re-testing $6,000 is certainly in the cards. Breaking below that is the big question. We will see. I'll update later.