The higher timeframe trend will always take priority over all the others. I can’t use the monthly chart because all you would see are green candles. The weekly chart is the safest way to look at the bigger picture.
What am I look at on this chart? I’m looking at all previous lows that we’re printed, this gives me a general idea of where price may go. Once I find and plot these lows i then check to see if there is any confluence with major price points (round numbers the market would be attracted to eg. 30k), I then look for sweeps/deviation of the lows followed by a structural break in the opposite direction to that current trend.
1. Price is currently trading around a previous low. 2. The lows from Jan 2021 (equal lows before the rally higher) might have already been swept by the spike below 30k 3. A structural violation to the upside on the daily chart. 4. The monthly candle closure will be crucial.
I will not trade the next few days, letting price develop for a clearer picture doesn’t mean you missed the trade. If price is going higher next month, the best place to enter would be as close to the monthly low as possible.
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