Bitcoin is now challenging strong resistance, which is the trend line (red dotted) created from the all time high reached on December 17.
This resistance point is sitting around $11,470, on BitFinex, and Bitcoin reached $11,660 today but the price quickly retraced.
At this moment, based on the daily chart time frame, we are trading near the 50 SMA price line (pale blue), which is at $11,350. Trading above this price level today can turn it into a support, where we can finally move above the "strong resistance" and establish a new uptrend.
On a different note, I am having this strange feeling about the market. Bitcoin is going up, slowly, steadily, but this does not correlate with the general sentiment I am getting, and seeing, coming from people all around. Are the bots in control?
Who cares, we need to break resistance and remain above it. And this is exactly how things are looking so far. Bitcoin is looking very bullish, everyday more.
- We still have plenty of room for growth on the MACD and RSI, and if we continue on the trend we are in now, we are definitely going to close above the strong resistance line. This would negate the primary resistance and the descending trading channel we have trading within since Mid. December. We can establish a new strong uptrend.
- EMA7 (purple) crossed recently the EMA21 (blue) price line, this is a bullish signal. And the price action keeps on going up regardless of how many analysts predict that Bitcoin is going down even now that the trend is clearly up. Remember that these markets are really unpredictable, we can read signals but the market decides what is really going on.
- We are also trading above the EMA50 price level (not shown), which soon will be crossed by EMA7 & 21 if this uptrend continues. This will both serve as a strong positive signal and support level if the price were to start crashing down. If we close above the strong resistance line, Bitcoin will be signaling huge strength, and we can prepare for another run up straight to the $13,000+ levels.
- We also had a positive candle yesterday, which is a good signal to remain on the trend in which we are now.
- We are trading on a tight ascending channel (green). My general feeling is that Bitcoin needed to correct once more, that there wasn't enough momentum and that it could crash down anytime, which still can be true, but the facts are different. Bitcoin is going up, keeps on going up and now it looks like it is going to continue going up.
So based on the chart above, and the signals just mentioned, Bitcoin will continue its climb, challenge the strong resistance and close above. If this is the case, you can open new positions so that we can go and challenge the next resistance point.
Thanks for reading this analysis, you know for sure that I always appreciate your support.
Feel free to like, share and follow, there is more to come.
Namaste.
P.S. Once Bitcoin has established its new uptrend and the market sentiments moves to stable / up, we can start trading Altcoins low risk, useful for beginners, once more. Please allow time for this mood change to become fully apparent.