The $5000 barrier

Atualizado
Zooming out to the daily chart makes we wonder if it will take a while to crack the $5000 barrier. Psychologically it is a very significant number: Half way to $10000, a very nice round number.

Using correlations with random charts is not TA, but this one makes my superstitious brain wonder: twitter.com/JamieSaettele/status/904062293230669824
Nota
Now BTC has touched the long term uptrend line. snapshot
Nota
These drops are habit now? snapshot
Nota
Let's see if this fractal plays out over the next days: snapshot
Nota
We reached $4630 and bounced. BTC is currently testing support at $4480.

snapshot
Nota
Seems to form a wedge. Currently, I expect another push to $4700 and then a dip to $4300. snapshot
Nota
Looks like the bottom is in. ETH has broken out of the downtrend, so BTC should follow soon. snapshot
Nota
RSI divergence is a sign of reversal.
snapshot
Nota
I guess ETH just really needed that bounce at $200. Amazing reversal. And just like that BTC looks quite bullish again.

snapshot
Nota
That bullish wedge kinda realized, but lost too much steam. snapshot
Nota
$3400 still looks likely. snapshot
Nota
Did not reach $3400, but maybe another downswing comes. Meanwhile it forms a bullish wedge on a larger timeframe. snapshot
Nota
Some chinese whale bought a big amount of BTC in OKCoin and started a little rally. Still, the volume is not enough for a big rally. It turned our wedge in a bull flag, though. That bull flag should retrace to $3400.

snapshot
Nota
Back over $4000. Half way to $5000 from $3000 three days ago.
Nota
Currently forming another bull flag. After a third impulse, we often see a larger correction. snapshot
Nota
Oy, that breakout failed. Time to decide, Bitcoin. snapshot
Nota
Bitcoin rejected at the downtrend line, so the downtrend continues.

snapshot

That $5000 barrier is far far away now.
Nota
ETH has closed above its downtrend line, but BTC is still below. snapshot
Nota
Breakout. Has the downtrend officially ended? I would like to see more volume.

snapshot
Nota
BTC seems to be due for a correction now. snapshot

However, ETH looks due for another push and they correlate...
Nota
A bounce at $4000 it pretty important. If support breaks there, we might drop a lot lower. snapshot
Nota
To break through $4400 will probably some serious volume. snapshot
Nota
BTC needs some upwards push soon or we have ended that uptrend. snapshot
Nota
At this point it looks totally ambiguous to me. snapshot
Nota
The market realized that Bitcoin Gold and Segway2x hardforks are coming. People imagine a similar win like with Bitcoin Cash and everybody buys BTC. People even dump their alts. This could lead well beyond $5000.

snapshot
Nota
Above $5000. I expect $6000 this week. snapshot
Fractal

Aviso legal