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BTC bear/correction scenarios (short term)

Atualizado

Currently looking like we are in a wave 4.
So thinking one more leg down.

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Forgot to add this note to the chart.
If price passes 618 at 9700 by much, count is invalidated.
But watching for a spike above to raid stops, then down to wave 5.

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Maybe like this:

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Adjusted my first possible buy zone, 9211 - 9251

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Better range 9185 - 9211

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Just noticed the brand new weekly M3 pivot (purple)
9200 looking really really good now.

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Oops typo for the number .
New Pivot is at 9215

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At the moment of truth.
or is it Point of No Return :(
1st small limit buy triggered.
I am stacking them closer to 9200

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Decent bounce but not very convincing... yet.....

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Bounce looking better.
Now I need it to take the GREEN Pill.

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Need to get past 9400 to rule out double bottom attempt

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I am thinking double bottom around 9200

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This still looks like a wave 4 down to me.
But from how it is behaving, I think wave 5 will NOT be much lower.

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Looking good.
Getting past 9400 was crucial.
Now just need to hold it without dropping much below it.

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Looks to me like correct OVA.
Back on the 10.4k Highway!!

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These pull back scalps were part of my bigger plan:

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Thinking we might see one more test of 9k.
If it holds, momentum might turn around.
If it breaks, look out below.

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Approaching critical price zone

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Looks like rejection where expected.
So maybe wave 4 is done now and wave 5 has begun.
If so, 9k will be tested and that will be the critical moment.

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.
Micro Fib points to double bottom, so maybe we wont go as low as 9k per above:

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Fibs still say possible double bottom above 9k.
BUT and interesting observation of this latest wave playing the .236 note.

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So much for that micro bounce above.
Now the question real bounce or not.

I am not convinced. The lack of any speed bumps to break 9k was a bad sign

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The green zone around 9k did pick up a bunch of my limit longs, and an now managing stops. If we get past 9060 and hold, then I will be less concerned.

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BTC bounce at a critical juncture, and the Nikkei just took a little dip. not a good sign....

(nikkei and btc have been positively correlated tonight)

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My Fibs are pointing to one more dip, 8850 maybe

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Last Chance for a bounce, maybe this ABC is done, picture perfect if it happens:

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Have found a bottom?

EuroMotif

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