BTC bounced back stronger than I expected. It actually reached the 61.8% Fib retrace of bearish Wave 3
Now Wave 4 (bearish scenario) has been triggered and a Sell SU9 has been recorded Wave 5 may have started with the recent price flip.
If wave 5 is properly underway, the most optimistic target is between 9,000 and 9,800 USD. This could coincide with a trip back to the last drawn support and for the REI indicator to print a buy signal near -40.
Cautious point:
- For Bears: The bearish wave 5 is not guaranteed. A continuation of the upward trend cannot be excluded in the short term with a bullish countdown in progress. The bearish wave count can be canceled if BTC closes back above 12,300USD.
- For Bulls: As wave 4 retraced 61.8% from wave 3 bearish, a more pessimistic scenario could be drawn where wave 4 could in fact be a sub-wave 2 of a larger bearish move. In this case, prices of $ 7,600 are to be expected (most optimistic). This would imply that wave 2 (bullish scenario) be pierced and consequently the cancellation of the bullish scenario
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As informações e publicações não devem ser e não constituem conselhos ou recomendações financeiras, de investimento, de negociação ou de qualquer outro tipo, fornecidas ou endossadas pela TradingView. Leia mais em Termos de uso.