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btc go up? go down?

Atualizado
btc now have two possiblity.

one. it will go up to 18700 and go down dip to 17100 at least

two. it will go down to 18200(maybe 18000) and go up to 18800

Personally, I thought it would go up, so I entered Long at 18300.
Stop loss seems to be done when the price escape the uptrend.

but i think it have to go down 17100 at lesat.(Leaning on the triangular pattern that had been formed over the past 10 days, I think that this short term rise is just a pushback.)
Nota
btc go down now. and i swiching to short at 18390 and stop loss 18410. taget is 18235. and i think that time i will buy ripple long.
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