Crypto winter is coming! Don’t miss the final rally.

23 de dez. de 2024

At this point, it’s already possible to see the structures the market operates within, specifically the influence of major market participants: how they accumulate liquidity and set the market trend.

Everything follows a pattern: a long 6–8 month consolidation → 1st wave of growth → redistribution + liquidity collection above and below → 2nd wave of growth → another long consolidation → repeat.

This generally fits logically into the framework of this cycle, both in structure and timing. The main target of this cycle — $140,000 — has not yet been reached. The market almost never exits an accumulation phase with just one growth wave. There’s a high probability that this will repeat once more: a second wave of growth to $140,000, followed by a six-month range until the end of summer, possibly in the form of an ascending structure, such as a wedge, potentially even reaching $173,000.

During this time, there will be distribution. This will take a while since big players need time to exit via retail. Selling to retail is most effective when there’s hype in the market. Exits may also occur through altcoins, as has happened before. Therefore, there’s still a chance that altcoins will surge during this period, creating the biggest market hype.

Just some market thoughts for now. Let’s keep observing. DYOR.

26 de dez. de 2024

Trade ativo

So far, the markets remain in anticipation. Everything is still within the structure I showed not too long ago. The beginning of the year is often accompanied by a price pullback, so the scenario of liquidity being collected below the channel is still relevant. Today, I’d like to show where the price might go if this happens. Indicators that highlight strong support zones can help us here.



The first zone is local and dynamic, but for now, it’s worth paying attention to the $89,000 level. I also demonstrated another indicator and how the price reacted to it in the past. In the case of a quick squeeze, this could be a potential level where the price might settle. $89,000 seems to be the more likely level.



I believe the first quarter of 2025 will show very strong growth for both Bitcoin and altcoins. Of course, I could be wrong, but my expectations for the end of this cycle are exactly that.

4 de jan.

Nota

Several of my systems have signaled long trades. I’m not sure whether there will be a liquidity grab below the channel under these circumstances or if the price will move upward from here. These trades might end up being unprofitable. We’ll keep monitoring the situation.

However, in any case, I’m always ready to put my money on my trading systems, regardless of my personal opinions or analysis.

3 de fev.

Nota

To be honest, I didn’t even expect such consequences after this drop. For me, it's just another good market shake-up. However, when I read various communities and see that some funds have capitulated, how heavily all crypto communities are trapped, including experts with truly vast experience, I realize even more the value of our strategies.

✅ Pump Tracker – exited trades at Bitcoin price of 104,000.
✅ Green Candles – exited Bitcoin trades at 102,000.
✅ Greenwich – almost at breakeven.
✅ The system trading alts – exited 4 weeks ago at the highs, just before the 50-80% drop in alts.

Sitting in stables and watching all this chaos from the sidelines is, of course, the highest level of satisfaction.

According to various estimates, around 80% of retail was almost entirely in alts.
rect 🪦😅

3 de fev.

Nota

The structural plan is still relevant. I expect the formation of higher price lows now, followed by the second wave of growth. The scenario will be invalidated if the price forms lower highs and lower lows on the chart.