Hello. Have been studying, learning and viewing the charts. Hoping to share this idea as a current view of the market from a student. Feeling that the run from $3000 to $13800 may have found exhaustion. If we break above the 50 ema on the hourly chart around $11600 then I think it is possible that we are finishing a triangle in sub wave 4 before the last impulse. Personally I think we are in sub wave 2 and are going to correct over 50% during a WXY
Alternate estimate:
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Still feels to me like we are finishing a flat but that the flat wouldnt have a target low enough to satisfy Elliott wave rules. I think we will form a double three with X starting at 9k and Y starting at 12K leading us down to $7250 which i find is a fib confluence zone. Hitting the WXY 1:1 ratio and the 61.8% retracement
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Updated the Zig Zag to fit the 3-7-11 Swings concept
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Also made the Zig Zag a 5-3-5 as it should be
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Ready for the flat to end in the next couple days
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Flat (3-3-5) finishing up
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Cleaner on the 4 hour chart
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My timing & target was pretty close Thinking we play in a range for a few days. Possible triangle formation. Looking for price to drop closer to 10k then eyeing 12K
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To 12K from here to finish off the rest of the month I thought 10k would hold so I jumped in early there Held all the way down thinking $9500 would be my invalidation number as 61.8% retracement fib level was there. Added more from bank since I jumped in early. Another lesson in why I need to wait for confirmation. The X leg is tough to plan
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I was tired when I typed 61.8% instead of 78.6%
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Someone is really messing with my emotions! Not sure 12K by the 31st will happen now. Still feeling we have to break upwards from here some
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Unforeseen market manipulation Whale had 4k BTC sold on Binance, not sure if any other exchange activity by them. Back to trying to break upward again
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Still estimating we are in an ABC Any Three of a WXY Estimating we will pivot in a few days around $11700 but the target is the supply line (Gann 8/1) Time cycle caught the change of charactor Work keeps me from actively posting
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