This chart shows the resistance lines in purple as our main indicator.
Fact#1: Historically, once Bitcoin breaks below a purple resistance line, it will not retrace above it.
Fact#2: Next thing we have to determine is how long each cycle lasts. First two cycles had a two week difference, or a 1.6% increase. Second and third cycles have an 84 week difference. With this in mind, we will assume that cycles 3 and 4 are similar in length and trajectory as cycles 1 and 2. Same goes for cycles 5, 6 and 7, 8.
Fact #3: Assuming that December 2018 was the bottom, we see that each of the last 3 bottoms 2011, 2015 and 2018 have been decreasing in drop percentage from the all time high. If this continues, we will see Bitcoin volatility start to stabilize as the price continues to increase.
With all these factors in play, we can expect a Bitcoin price of around $4.6 million by 2050. That will be a total Bitcoin market cap of around $89 trillion, and that is not counting the thousands of other cryptocurrencies in existence.
Keep in mind that this forecast can change based on how you draw the purple resistance lines.
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