Todays analysis – BATBTC – Retracing from a multi-month triangle formation breakout (as explored in previous BATBTC analysis - link down below)
Points to consider: - S/R flip retest - Support confluence - 21 EMA visual guide - Oscillators over-extended - RSI bearish divergence - Declining Volume
BATBTC needs to hold the probable S/R flip retest at structural support to establish a higher low, validating a long trade. However, trend continuation at this level will negate the thesis.
Price needs to respect structural support (in confluence with .382 Fibonacci retracement) indicating a probable trend continuation, forming bullish bias in the market.
Trend continuation upon price testing the 21 EMA will support the bullish bias, allowing the EMA to act as a visual guide.
Both the RSI and stochastics cooling off from overbought conditions, a retrace to structural resistance will allow the oscillators to cool off. Furthermore, a technical bearish divergence on the RSI affirms weakness in the immediate market.
An increase in volume will be key as price tests support levels to avoid any false breaks.
Overall, in my opinion, BATUSDT has strong support confluence giving it a greater probability of breaking bullish, however, support re-test is needed for a valid long trade.
What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments below!
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