Possible opportunity in Aussie vs USD this week?
US dollar
Attention will be paid to key economic indicators that roll out over the course of the week such as the Non-farm Payrolls jobs report, JOLTs job openings, and the ISM Services PMI survey.
Moody's analysis suggests a cooling down of various labor market measures. The uptick in November jobs growth is attributed to the impact of the United Auto Workers strikes in October rather than a substantial resurgence in the labor market.
Aussie Dollar
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain its interest rate in its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, with a 97% probability for the rate to stay at 4.35%. There is only a 3% chance of a 25bps hike to 4.60%. This expectation follows the RBA's decision to raise the Cash Rate by 25bps in the last November meeting.
A surprise decision by the RBA (or even a change in outlook) could see the Aussie dollar spike like the NZ dollar did last week. Look for weak preliminary job numbers coming from the US for extra confirmation of a bullish Aussie outlook.
Attention will be paid to key economic indicators that roll out over the course of the week such as the Non-farm Payrolls jobs report, JOLTs job openings, and the ISM Services PMI survey.
Moody's analysis suggests a cooling down of various labor market measures. The uptick in November jobs growth is attributed to the impact of the United Auto Workers strikes in October rather than a substantial resurgence in the labor market.
Aussie Dollar
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain its interest rate in its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, with a 97% probability for the rate to stay at 4.35%. There is only a 3% chance of a 25bps hike to 4.60%. This expectation follows the RBA's decision to raise the Cash Rate by 25bps in the last November meeting.
A surprise decision by the RBA (or even a change in outlook) could see the Aussie dollar spike like the NZ dollar did last week. Look for weak preliminary job numbers coming from the US for extra confirmation of a bullish Aussie outlook.
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