Will AUDUSD limitedly recover amid mixed views?

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Macro:
- The aussie-dollar is rebounding after the bearish sentiment over Trump’s tariffs has pressured the currency.
- Expectations are rising that the RBA will cut interest rates this month due to easing inflation and weaker growth prospects.
- This theme may impair currency recovery if there are any further corrections.

Technical:
- AUDUSD is recovering from its swing low around the support at 0.6150. The price forms a potential double-bottom pattern, which may set an upward bias to the currency in the short term.
- If AUDUSD stays above its support at 0.6250, the price may continue to advance to retest at 0.6400, which confluences with the 38.2% level of the Fibonacci Retracement.
- On the contrary, closing below the support at 0.6250, confluence with EMA21 may prompt a retest of the previous swing low of around 0.6140.



Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness

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