AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS
#AUDJPY
These days, AUDJPY is slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. In recent days, JPY became somewhat STRONG because of the BOJ INTERVENTION and the drop in US INFLATION. Even now, we see that the MARKET has somewhat MARKET RISK OFF. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance.
Anyway, if AUDJPY goes DOWNSIDE again, VIX should go up, JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go down. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days. FOMC UPDATE MUST BE HAWKISH FOR THAT. If MARKET RISK continues to be ON again, you can definitely BUY at 95.041 LEVEL. But somehow it may go down to the 90.50 level before going up. After that, AUDJPY may go up to 95.04 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY continues to be WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAKED, AUDJPY has a very good situation to BUY.
To buy AUDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. Further, the TREND LINE should be BREAK. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
If the dollar is strengthened by the FED, MARKETS RISK should be off. Then after JPY STRONG, AUDJPY can be LONG TERM BUY.
These days, AUDJPY is slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. In recent days, JPY became somewhat STRONG because of the BOJ INTERVENTION and the drop in US INFLATION. Even now, we see that the MARKET has somewhat MARKET RISK OFF. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance.
Anyway, if AUDJPY goes DOWNSIDE again, VIX should go up, JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go down. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days. FOMC UPDATE MUST BE HAWKISH FOR THAT. If MARKET RISK continues to be ON again, you can definitely BUY at 95.041 LEVEL. But somehow it may go down to the 90.50 level before going up. After that, AUDJPY may go up to 95.04 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY continues to be WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAKED, AUDJPY has a very good situation to BUY.
To buy AUDJPY, VIX must be DOWN and SNP500 must be UP. Further, the TREND LINE should be BREAK. And COMMODITIES should definitely be UP. We are waiting for the change in the above mentioned MARKETS.
If the dollar is strengthened by the FED, MARKETS RISK should be off. Then after JPY STRONG, AUDJPY can be LONG TERM BUY.
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