Berdasarkan laporan dari Analis broker IF, AKRA masih menarik karena manajemen masih optimis dengan bisnis distribusi migas.
Berikut ringkasannya :
AKRA, Indonesia's largest private fuel and basic chemicals distributor, experienced a slow quarter in Q223 due to lower ASP. The company posted a net profit of IDR 424 bn, despite lower-than-expected revenue and EBITDA. The decline in revenue can be attributed to the decline in ASP from its trading and distribution business, which reaped IDR 6.9 tn of revenue. Despite the drop in T&D revenue, AKRA managed to report GPM and EBITDA margin expansion of +97 bps yoy and +0.9 bps (to +7.3%). The company's net profit was IDR 1.03 tn, with a modest EPS growth of +8% yoy. AKRA's petroleum business is progressing towards its sales volume target of 2.9-3 mn kl, driven by increased smelters and mining activity. The company's chemical trading business is optimistic, with 46% of its FY23 petroleum and 50% of its FY23 chemical sales target achieved. The company plans to open 50 BP AKR outlets in FY23, 100 in the following year, and 350 by 2030.
Ada optimisme karena ekspansi marjin keuntungan. Bisnis gas pun masih tinggi karena aktfititas di pertambangan mineral dan smelter (meng-offset turunnya aktifitas pertambangan batubara).
Meski demikian, MMD memperhatikan Sideways AKRA sejak Juni 2022 terlihat sebagai bagian dari Bearish Reversal Pattern yang mengindikasikan Peaking.
AKRA mengawali Downtrend setelah Breakdown Support di Rp1,200. Namun setelah Breakdown Rp1,300, ancaman Downtrend rasanya akan semakin besar.
Untuk melanjutkan Uptrend, AKRA harus Breakout Resistance di Rp1,350.
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