Visualization of the inverted portions of the USTS yield curve.
Red means that portion of the curve is inverted.
If 1M is red, it means it's less than RRP%.
An inversion between the 2 year and 10 year US treasury yield generally means a recession within 2 years. But the yield curve has more to it than that. This script helps analysis of the current and past yield curve (not limited to US treasury) and is very configurable.
"A yield curve is a line that plots yields (interest rates) of bonds having equal credit...
This indicator compares the attractiveness of equities relative to the risk-free rate of return, by comparing the earnings yields of S&P 500 companies to the 10Y treasury yields. "Earnings yield" refers to the net income attributable to shareholders divided by the stock's price - effectively the inverse of the PE ratio. The tangible meaning of this metric is "the...
REAL-CASE SCENARIO:-
IN10Y(10yr yield t- bill) are govt. backed bonds provide basic interest or coupon rate. If the coupon rate falls below (yield =(1/price) the coupon rates of 3 month bond IN03MY(3m yield t- bill), investors are pessimistic about future growth of the economy.
This pessimistic behavior can be seen in the graph when change in background...
This script tracks the U.S. 2Yr/10Yr Spread and uses inversions of the curve to predict recessions. Whenever a red arrow appear on the yield curve, expect a recession to begin within the next 2 years. Use this signal to either exit the market, or hedge current positions. Whenever a green arrow appears on the yield curve, expect a recession to have nearly ended....
Yield spreads are used to see investors' perception of future risk and predict a recession. The spread is the value obtained by subtracting the near term bond from the distant one. This indicator plots this value historically. I used 3-year and 10-year Turkey treasury bond yields instead of 2-year and 10-year Turkey treasury bond yields due to lack of historical...
