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EduardoMattje
3 de Dez de 2021 00:54

Outside Day 

Visa Inc.NYSE

Descrição

This strategy is taken from Perry Kaufman's book "Trading System and Methods".

You can enter on the direction of the candle, or opposite to it. I find that the opposite tends to yield better results in volatile assets, allowing a better reward to risk ratio. There is no stop loss in this strategy, only a fixed take profit and a time limitation.

Notas de Lançamento

Added the ability to choose the direction of the trades.
Comentários
EduardoMattje
@pablo45N I can't answer through the chat since I don't have 5 points of reputation, so I'll try to explain through here. This is Perry Kaufman's explanation, took directly from his book:

"OUTSIDE DAYS AND INSIDE DAYS
There are nu­mer­ous chart pat­terns that can be prof­it­able if they are prop­erly iden­ti­fied and traded con­sist­ently. Un­for­tu­nately, any one pat­tern may not ap­pear very of­ten and traders may be­come im­pa­tient wait­ing for the op­por­tun­it­ies. For oth­ers who feel that over­all trad­ing suc­cess is a com­bin­a­tion of small vic­tor­ies, the out­side day with an out­side close is a good place to start.

Outside Days
An out­side day has the high and low out­side the range of the pre­vi­ous day; that is, the high is higher and the low is lower. An out­side close is an out­side day with the clos­ing price higher or lower than the prior day's high or low, re­spect­ively. This pat­tern rep­res­ents a volat­ile day, of­ten triggered by news, and is clearly re­solved in one dir­ec­tion. If the close was in the dir­ec­tion op­pos­ite to a re­cent price move, it is also a key re­versal day; how­ever, this method does not at­tempt to find the cur­rent trend. A brief study by Arnold in 1984 showed that this pat­tern proved prof­it­able for a small sample of cur­ren­cies, metals, and fin­an­cials us­ing the fol­low­ing rules:

1. Buy on the close of an out­side day if the close is above the prior high; sell if the close is be­low the prior low.
2. If buy­ing, place a stop-loss just be­low the low of the out­side day; if selling, place the stop just above the high.
3. Close out the po­s­i­tion on the close three days after entry (the res­ult of test­ing from one to five days).

Times have changed, and mar­kets are gen­er­ally nois­ier and of­ten more volat­ile. In the 1970s and per­haps into the early 1980s, this pat­tern was likely to work, but not since the mid-1980s. How­ever, if you re­verse the rules and sell when today's price closes above the pre­vi­ous high on a volat­ile day, your res­ults are much bet­ter. A con­di­tional exit, which in­cludes profit-tak­ing, is likely to im­prove res­ults. The pro­gram TSM Out­side Day with an Out­side Close is avail­able on the Com­pan­ion Web­site. It al­lows you to test the num­ber of days that the trade is held, plus profit-tak­ing based on the av­er­age true range. Res­ults might be im­proved by re­mov­ing trades dur­ing peri­ods of low volat­il­ity be­cause a wide-ran­ging day that fol­lows a very nar­row range may prove to have no fore­cast­ing value."
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