Solana 2/17 (scalping + forecast)

🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Solana is in a downtrend on the 2H and 1D timeframes, struggling against the 200 EMA, while the weekly chart maintains long-term bullish structure.
Key Levels: SOL is trading within $176 – $190, facing strong resistance at $190+.
Resistance:
🩸 Major Resistance: $190 – $193 (key rejection zone, breakout needed for bullish continuation).
🩸 Local Resistance: $185 (sellers active, needs confirmation for reversal).
Support:
🩸 Major Support: $176 – $180 (break below opens the door to $165).
🩸 Local Support: $180 (short-term buyers attempting a defense).
Indicators:
MACD (2H, 1D): Bearish momentum, weak crossover—no strong buy signals yet.
RSI (2H, 1D): 28-35, oversold but no confirmed reversal yet.
EMA 200 (2H, 1D): Acting as resistance—SOL remains below key trend levels.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Trading in the Range)

Buy: $176 – $180, targeting $185 – $190.
Sell: $190 – $193, targeting $180.
Stop-loss: Below $175 (for long), above $195 (for short).
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (Momentum Play)

Long Entry: Above $193, targeting $200 – $205.
Short Entry: Below $176, targeting $165 – $160.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping

If SOL rejects EMA 200, short with a target at $180.
If SOL flips EMA 200 into support, long with a target at $193+.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
Bullish Scenario: SOL breaks and holds above $193, leading to a push towards $205+.
Bearish Scenario: SOL fails to hold $176, leading to a retest of $165 – $160.
🔥 News & Market Context:
Solana ecosystem updates: Monitor network developments and DeFi activity.
Institutional Flow: No strong buying signals—watch for increased volume.
Crypto Market Sentiment: If Bitcoin remains weak, SOL may follow its downtrend.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalping the $176 – $193 range, waiting for confirmation.
🩸 Mid-term: Breakout play above $193 or short below $176.
🩸 Ideal Play: Monitoring RSI & MACD for confirmation of a reversal.

👑 Final Verdict:
Solana is in a corrective phase, with **$193 as the key breakout level$193 as the key breakout level. Scalp within the range, but a breakout or breakdown will set the next major move.

🔥 FinCaesar's Quote:
"Strength comes from knowing when to strike—wait for the setup, then execute with precision." 👑