TradingView
DaddySawbucks
19 de Mar de 2021 01:47

NQ going Oversold: Bounce soon?  Viés de alta

E-mini Nasdaq-100 FuturesCME

Descrição

Based on previous price moves, these selling waves last from 3-5 days sessions. Yield inversion has tanked techs, selloff could intensify.
(overlay from 2-5 Mar)
BUT; If this holds, expect a smallish bounce 19 Mar, more selling on 22 and pivot to long entry on 23/24, as it did last year on those dates.

NOT investing advice; trade at your own risk! GLTA!!

Comentário

Fills in the overlay... would not long this yet... all risk

Comentário

Strong resistance overhead at 3925 SPx (former support at 3940 turns resistant) and 13250 Composite. Has tested 3x intraday Friday. Watch for the action in Power Hour...

Comentário

Looks weak EOD, power hour aint got none... gonna take a bear spread on QQQ see if it gaps down Monday, GLTA!

PS Usual strat of buy expiring calls in last hour on Fridays looks like a losing prop today IMO, not gonna try it.

Comentário

Opoen Bear Spread long 5 Apr 09 312.5P short 5 Mar 26 302.5P net debit 3k; will find out if this was a good idea Monday mornin, lol. Good wknd peeps!

Comentário

Added 3 more spreads on the weak EOD lift, usually a good place to short...

Comentário

FYI worth a read, best text on charting and trend analysis ever, read Murphy free pdf, see fig 4-10a to get an idea what might happen soon:
cdn.preterhuman.net/texts/unsorted2/Stock books 029/John J Murphy - Technical Analysis Of The Financial Markets.pdf

Comentário

Better bounce, lol, closed out the bear spreads in open. Watch, wait.

Comentário

Would not chase this IMO rally is not broad-based, small caps declining today while this runs up; a bear retracement.

Comentário

WARNING: FALLING WEDGE IN NQ INTRADAY; DO NOT SHORT AGAIN! CLOSE SHORTS AND GO CASH OVERNIGHT, LOOK FOR EOD SHORT-COVERING RALLY IF IT DOESNT COME YOU LOSE NOTHING, THE FALLING WEDGE IN QQQ IS BULLISH! SELLING MAY COME TO END SOON IMO.

Trade fechado manualmente

ALL POSITIONS CLOSED NICE GAINS IN THE QQQ AND SPY PUTS TODAY! SOME CONTRACTS +150%
Comentários
hungry_hippo
Right idea wrong index, should've shorted small cap, now oversold so it should pop tomorrow
DaddySawbucks
hungry_hippo
@DaddySawbucks, you would've made a killing
DaddySawbucks
dg78
Thank you for the link. An outstanding text!
The_Unwind
Well done trade Professor Sawbucks.
DaddySawbucks
@The_Unwind, ty guruguy, I got lucky, again. goin down hard now imo
hungry_hippo
Love this one... MFI is oversold but RSI isn't and I think it needs one more down day before the pattern is complete. Big factor is that AAPL looks weak.

At this point, I think buying calls Monday afternoon or Tuesday morning is the way to go. I get teh feeling that today is a headfake bounce because it's Friday. Staying all cash until next week.
DaddySawbucks
@hungry_hippo, made nice bit from am bounce, now watch & wait IMo
DaddySawbucks
@hungry_hippo, spy so weak no happy eod spike, just fail, imo we got a tank coming. only eod spike was $1 on IWM ffs
Mais