Gold has shown strong bullish momentum recently, sweeping above previous highs. On the 1-hour chart, we’re observing potential signs of exhaustion, suggesting a pullback could be imminent. The anticipated retracement target is around the 2,650 level, which coincides with key support and Fibonacci levels.
Technical Analysis:
The 1-hour chart indicates that Gold has pushed above previous highs but is now encountering resistance. A corrective move towards the 2,650 level would align with the broader market structure, allowing for a healthy pullback before any potential continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today’s economic calendar is packed with high-impact USD events that could influence Gold’s price action:
• US Final GDP & Unemployment Claims: These data points will provide insights into economic health and could affect the dollar’s strength.
• Fed Chair Powell & FOMC Members’ Speeches: Multiple speeches from Fed officials, including Powell, could offer clues on future monetary policy, impacting market sentiment and Gold’s direction.
• ECB President Lagarde’s Speech: Potential implications for EUR/USD, which could indirectly impact Gold.
• Pending Home Sales: An important indicator of economic activity that could also influence market sentiment.
Risk Management:
Given the potential volatility from today’s events, it is crucial to maintain disciplined risk management. Consider setting tight stop-loss levels to protect your position in case of unexpected market moves. Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance, and be prepared to react quickly if market conditions shift.
With these key events lined up, be prepared for heightened volatility. Any surprises in the data or comments from policymakers could lead to sharp movements in Gold, supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.