Hi people, BTC has followed my chart for now, we see on the 4-hour chart 1. BTC is still in a downtrend since january 2. we formed a double top thats confirmed now 3. We had a elliot wave 1-5 and now the ABC correction, for me this is not an elliot wave failure because when you look on the 1 day chart there is wave C of the correction forming now. Elliot waves can have smaller waves in it! SO when there is a big elliot wave A-C there can be more elliot waves in there so i dont see a failure here.
So we are under the 61.8 % retracement of the retracement cycle, remember when we are under 61.8% fibonacci retracement this is indicated for an continuation of downtrend.
- We bounced up now from the support at 7840 witch i have marked with the horizontal black line, i hope you guys see this on chart.
- And the 61.8 % retracement mark pushed us back.
- The next downswing could bring us to around 6500 USD from where we could go a little up and then push downer.
- For now its waiting time to see more information.
Have fun and good luck with your trades!